And, while most pollsters had predicted a narrowing margin between Harris and Trump in the popular vote, almost all showed ...

Trump swept to victory, winning 295 Electoral College votes so far, but Harris had been predicted to win by almost every ...

“Unlike Nate Silver, who will try to squirm out of why he didn’t ... He certainly was not predicting a Trump Electoral College landslide,” Lichtman wrote on X. “And he said don’t trust my gut. So once ...

The founder of Aaru told Semafor that despite getting most predictions wrong, its model still “did well” and is faster and ...

When I say the odds in this year’s presidential race are about as close as you can possibly get to 50/50, I’m not ...

the Republican president-elect won the electoral college with 277 votes beating his opponent ... Trump before Election Day ...

The model projected Vice President Kamala Harris as the likely winner despite her falling behind in vote counts ...

Nate Silver’s model continued to show Kamala Harris with a slight lead in potentially being elected president, even as the ...

On November 5th, 2024, Nate Silver released his final update on the state of ... those times and Trump won 39,718 (with the ...

Up-to-the-minute coverage on the presidential and congressional races and how they stand to shape crypto legislation and ...

Refresh throughout the day for updates on the shifting presidential election odds. We’re tracking the state-by-state races ...

When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 ...